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Residential Real Estate, Risk, Return and Home Characteristics: Evidence from Sydney 2002-14

机译:住宅房地产,风险,回报和房屋特征:来自悉尼2002-14年的证据

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摘要

While residential real estate is a key component of household wealth little is known about the investment characteristics of different types of properties. This paper outlines and applies a methodology for examining the variation in risk and return of individual homes. We use large data sets of home prices and rents for Sydney, Australia, from 2002-14, to estimate flexible spline hedonic models which incorporate spatial and characteristics smoothing. Using these models we construct unique home price and rental estimates for a large sample of properties for each time period. These imputations are used to examine the dynamics of risk and return for residential real estate by estimating a market model on total returns. We find that both the returns and their volatility are tied to certain home characteristics such as the region of the residence and whether the property is a house or apartment. Perhaps most surprisingly we find that there was a negative correlation between risk and return in the Sydney housing market over the period examined.
机译:虽然住宅房地产是家庭财富的重要组成部分,但对不同类型房地产的投资特征知之甚少。本文概述并应用了一种方法来检查单个房屋的风险和收益变化。我们使用2002-14年度澳大利亚悉尼的房价和租金的大型数据集来估计灵活的样条享乐模型,该模型融合了空间和特征平滑功能。使用这些模型,我们为每个时间段的大量房地产样本构建了独特的房价和租金估算。这些估算用于通过估算总收益的市场模型来检验住宅房地产的风险和收益动态。我们发现,收益率和波动率都与某些家庭特征相关,例如住宅的区域以及物业是房屋还是公寓。也许最令人惊讶的是,我们发现,在这段时期内,悉尼住房市场的风险与回报之间存在负相关关系。

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